Thursday, December 27, 2007

Hill of Hope

Just about now everyone is confused as to which manner the stock market is going to travel - up or down. For the past 3 old age it have got been headed south, but the Wall Street experts have told us that the market never travels down 4 old age in a row so this have to be an up year. But no guarantees.

The old expression is that the stock market climb ups a wall of worry. We watch crisp moves up followed by days, sometimes hebdomads of failing and then another shot to higher prices. From 1982 to 2000 this went on until we absolutely, positively knew it was going to go on forever. The current mentality is you can't lose if you just "hang in there". Mr. Average-stockholder have lost about 50% of his money so far and have chewed his fingernails to the nub. Now what?

I trust you don't need a house to fall on you to recognize we are in a long-term bear market, one that could endure for years. In a bear market the action is exactly opposite what you see in a bull market - crisp diminutions followed by slow agonising mass meetings that don't quite do it back to the former high prices. This is called climbing the Hill of Hope. This is a slippy hill to which you will not do it to the top. Hope is the most expensive word in an investor's lexicon.

The smartest (?) analysts (?) and talking caputs on television go on to state us the market always come ups back - if you dwell long enough. They neglect to state you that every bull market is followed by a bear market of about equal length. This last bull ended after 18 old age and if rhythms repetition we have got 15 more than old age of the downward way to follow. I cognize - "this clip it is different". Let's hope so, but I don't desire to have got my money on hope.

The DOW Industrial Index have been down 3 old age in a row and only once in history have it gone down 4 modern times to newer lows. Did you cognize that the DOW Transportation Index have been down 5 old age straight? Can there possibly be a 6th year? Your reply is as good as mine.

There have recently been some settlement of common finances from 401Ks and IRAs, but the amount is small. It have been reported that there is about 3 trillion (with a T) in common funds. The talking caputs talk of 10 and 20 billion departure the so-called "safe haven". As a percentage of entire assets this is a spit. One of these years not too far in the hereafter (probably this year) investors will suddenly get the thought to head for the door. And they all expression to make it about the same clip like lemmings headed over the cliff.

This volition look like a major underside in the market - and it might be if the P/E ratio can get down to around
10 or less. Until it makes they will still be trying, unsuccessfully, to climb up that Hill of Hope.

Tuesday, December 25, 2007

Getting Even

I cognize there are a batch of you out there who would wish to "get even" with the stock market. Many are on the diet of "I hope, I hope". As a professional bargainer I can state you that diet will do you very sick.

If you play any game of opportunity like stove poker you cognize you are not going to win every hand. In fact you are going to lose more than custody than you win, but at the end of the eventide you can still come up out ahead if you cognize how and when to wager and when to fold up because it is not always in the cards that you have got been dealt.

The same uses to gaming in the stock market. Oh, did I state a bad thing? Al, travel wash your oral cavity out with soap. My broker states buying pillory is "investing", not gambling. And hogs can fly. Wall Street is just Las Vegas East and like stove poker you can be cleaned out. Oh, you already cognize that - in spades!

The instructions of Maul Street are that you purchase a good stock or monetary fund and throw it forever. They did not state you that you may have got drawn a 2, 6, 10 off lawsuit and there is no manner it will be a winner. They never state you to fold up your manus (sell). At least you are not losing money every clip a card is dealt. With pillory they deal a new card every twenty-four hours called a terms change. If the stock, monetary fund or index you have got travels steadily down over a clip period of time don't you believe it would be wise to fold up your manus and sit down with your chips?

No, your broker will never urge this because he gets paid every twelvemonth you have your money "invested" in something, anything except a money market. It may only be one percent, but the brokerage company can dwell off that even if you can't.

I know, you are telling me you are "in for the long haul". What Wall Street genius thought up that one? In this high bet game you must retrieve it was to travel forth with more than money than you started and not to go bust or remain even. When the market is going down you desire to be OUT, not sitting there every twenty-four hours hoping (and praying) your shares will travel up. They won't. Like stove poker you have got to take a small loss and wait for a better manus which may be quite a while. YOU DON'T have TO be INVESTED ALL THE TIME. Many modern times cash or chemical bonds will do more than money than owning stocks.

When the market is going down even the best pillory will fall. Understand you are not going to win every pot. Small losings will not ache you. It is the large 1s that tin pass over you out. Know the amount you are willing to put on the line when you purchase any stock and fold up when that loss bounds is hit.

You are not investing to "get even".

Sunday, December 23, 2007

Gold Fever

Right now there doesn't seem to be any "gold fever". Very few are out looking to strike it rich in this sector.

Way back when at Sutter's Mill in California the discovery of gold was accidental. One of Sutter's employees picked up a shiny stone out of the stream and suddenly the fever caught everyone. Gold fever is one of the most catching and dangerous "diseases" that has afflicted man since the beginning of time. Many have died or gone broke chasing this elusive element. We are about to see it happen again. The first ones to catch it usually do very well, but as the fever spreads to the general population the affliction mutates to fear of not getting their share and ends with disaster.

Those who understand the cycle of fear, yes, that is what it is, do manage to control their emotions and do very well. At first the logical, thinking people realize that everything is in place for a long term bull market so they mine (buy) early. As they continue to become richer and richer others see their success and start staking claims. Even these later comers do well as the hoard descends upon the gold fields and the early birds are happy to accommodate them by selling them part or all of their claims (stocks and bullion).

The early birds do not become emotional about their good fortune and do not become so attached to their mines that they refuse to sell. They have the good sense to realize that if they hold much longer there will be too many chasing this good thing so they sell. Every rich man in history will tell you that the secret of success is knowing when to sell.

Those who bought the original tulip bulbs from Holland and land in the South Pacific and saw the prices begin to erode and sold were the ones who remained rich. From 1982 to 2000 dot.com stocks made everyone think he was a financial genius. Those who had no exit strategy were buried in the avalanche of cascading prices for the next 3 years. It seems that many have not yet learned their lesson and are buying more of the same junk with the hope that it will go back up to the old high prices so they can get out "even".

Those who came late to the gold rush went home with little or nothing and most lost money. If you want to participate in the coming gold bonanza you must get started now.

Friday, December 21, 2007

The Golden Goose is Sick

It is finally catching up with them. The brokerage companies I mean. For old age they have got been eating bad nutrient to their flock and now the flock is rebelling. The client have been low adult male on the totem pole for too long. That nutrient have been the disinformation that have caused clients to lose large sums of money of money.

Last twelvemonth there were 33,000 brokerage company recommendations for thousands of stocks. Things like Strong Buy, Buy, Long Term Buy, Outperform, Underperform, Neutral, and Hold. The 1 word that was missing was Sell. Of those thousands of messages sent to their clients only 125 were Sell. Something is very seriously incorrect here. While the market was going up in 1999 the so-called analysts whose occupation it is to calculate out if the company is a bargain campaigner were telling you to purchase everything in sight. Anyone could have got used a dart and thrown it at the long listing of pillory in the newspaper and hit a victor almost every time.

What happened to the in-depth analysis of the brokerage company geniuses when these same pillory started down. I cognize - Hold. They name it Buy and Hold, but I name it Buy and Prey. In 2000 over 1,000 pillory on the Nasdaq lost more than than 90% of their value and today many of those companies have got gone under. Why were you not notified and told to sell? Because the brokerage companies were making more than money doing Initial Populace Offerings (IPO) than they were making committees on your trading.

To state the naughty word "Sell" would have got got made company executive directors huffy and they would not have given the brokerage company a shot at their adjacent Initial Populace Offering (IPO). To heck with the customer; he doesn't count. There are cases where analysts were fired because they told clients to sell out.

Now that the moneymaking initial public offering market have got dried up maybe the brokerage companies will get to recognize they have a fiducial duty to their customers. Hundreds of thousands of customers' accounts have got lost 40%, 50% and more than of their equity. If the short-sighted brokers had protected these accounts they would have got 100s of billions of extra dollars left so the client could merchandise again which would intend billions more in committees for the house. Now the dollar cost averaging technique is left with no dollars to invest.

Customers are afraid to set more than money in the stock market because they have got been so badly abused. They cognize something is wrong, but they don't cognize what so they wisely throw onto their money and decline to pour more than into losing propositions. Brokers desire the clients to purchase pillory and not set their dollars into a money market account where they do no commission.

The golden goose have got lost quite a few pounds, but let's trust the brokerage companies have learned that by treating clients with regard and eating them properly will convey them greater rewards.

Tuesday, December 18, 2007

Why This Bear?

People are constantly asking me why is the stock market going down. What is causing this bear market? It is relatively simple so don't ask an economist. He will give you a 200-page answer that is undecipherable. Can you understand Mr. Greenspan?

Let's first realize what it is that makes a stock price go up. The basic reason is that the investor thinks that the company will make a larger profit and pay a good dividend - one that is better than it is now doing. People buy in anticipation of better earnings. Really, it is that simple.

Conversely, when a stock starts down investors think the company can no longer sustain its sales and earnings and that the current price is too high so it is sold. Every other reason you hear is hype, smoke and mirrors. Last year we saw more than 1,000 stocks on the Nasdaq exchange lose more than 90% of their value. Many of those stocks have lost even more this year and scores of them are either out of business or been merged into other companies. Their anticipated sales and earnings never showed up.

When a large section of the market is adversely affected with shrinking sales that action many times begins to slip over into other sectors. Last year it was the technology group as a whole that suffered the most. This year it will be almost all the New York Stock Exchange stocks. We have just witnessed the biggest point loss in one week in NYSE history. In the long run it is going to go much lower after its rally.

The market was already headed down before the World Trade Center tragedy and this single act triggered a great amount of emotional selling. The bear market, which has been with us for about a year, would have gone down to the September 21, 2001 lows anyway even if the New York disaster had not occurred.

One thing investors do not like is uncertainty. People want their money to be safe so they will sell some of what they have and will not buy. Those with 401Ks can transfer to money markets. It has become very evident that almost every type of business with a few exceptions will have less sales and shrinking profits. It is not a time to buy. The talking heads on TV are telling you that you can't afford to be out of the market. Oh, yes you can. The best place for the next several months is in a nice safe Money Market fund or some type of short-term bond no-load mutual fund.

Until the market uncertainty goes away and profits start improving for a majority of companies it is best to maintain a cash position. That may not be until the middle of next year. In the meantime cash is king. Don't let anyone talk you into buying anything. The bear is still loose. Don't let him gobble up your investments.

Sunday, December 16, 2007

Kick The Tires

Before you buy another car you walk around the lot, kick the tires, slam the doors and look at the mileage indicator. That's an odometer. I know. That is about all the "research" you can do other than what the car salesman tells you and I hope you know better than to believe him.

The same goes for buying stocks or mutual funds. All the brokerage companies tell you to do your research before you buy. Kick the tires. Slam the doors. Look at the odometer. But how do you do this and can you really get the true story about any equity because you can't take it for a test drive and you don't want to believe any broker. Wall Street wants you to read the prospectus, study the annual report, find out about management, learn the P/E ratios, see that their sales and earnings are increasing and on and on and on gathering statistics until your head hurts.

OK, now you have all that information, but what do you have?

The Annual Report. The title ought to give you a clue. Much of the information in it is already a year old and much older depending upon when you are looking at it.

The Prospectus. Did you know that this complex document was not written for you, the investor? It was written for some Dilbert in his cubicle at the Securities and Exchange Commission in Washington who studies it to be sure it meets all the regulations for full disclosure, whatever that is. If you read the prospectuses for any stock or mutual fund that is a real winner and another where you will lose all your money you will find they are both almost identical. It is a waste of time to read these. They belong in the bottom of a birdcage.

Company management. Do you think they are going to tell you anything bad? Come on.

Shall we keep on going or are you getting the idea? What you are gathering is information that everyone else can access, some of which can be distorted and will not tell you the most important thing of all. Will the stock or mutual fund go up if I buy it? Your broker has all this information so don't ask him as he will regurgitate this mess and make it sound important. In other words he doesn't know either.

When it comes to buying stocks and mutual funds you cannot do any worthwhile research the way Wall Street tells you. When your stock goes down and you lose money they can look you in the eye and say you did your research and it is not our fault you lost money. It is their way to keep from being sued for bad advice.

Kicking tires the way the big boys tell you doesn't work. In a later column I will go into how to find equities that do go up and you won't need any of that Wall Street disinformation to find winners.

Thursday, December 13, 2007

How To Buy And Hold

One of the most believed spots of conventional wisdom from Wall Street is to Buy and Hold. Any stock or common monetary fund should be set away for infinity and never sold. This is entire bullshit and is guaranteed to reduce your investing income.

Brokerage companies never will counsel you to sell. Last twelvemonth over 1,000 pillory on the Nasdaq lost more than than 90% of their value. During that same clip period of time brokerage companies issued 33,000 (yes, that's right, thousand) recommendations for their clients. Of that 33,000 lone 125 were "Sell". What happened to those "expert" analysts who were telling you to purchase on the manner up? Couldn't any of them calculate out to state you to get out when a stock was headed down at breakneck speed?

When you desire to cognize something I have got a favourite method. It is, "Follow the Money". Where makes a brokerage company do its top return? Not on committees as you might think. It is selling a new issue of stock or a secondary issue for a company now in business or unsecured bonds of some kind. We are talking about large vaulting horses here. Minimum six figs and most modern times seven figure committees for the brokerage company. Just one of these more than than than brands up for the clients piddling commissions.

If the brokerage company analyst states the truth that he doesn't believe a company is a good bargain anymore and to sell you can be certain the executive directors at that company have got a long memory should they make up one's mind to sell more stock. Issue a sell signaling would be the death knell for the brokerage company ever selling any new issues for that company. And the analyst would probably get fired.

Instead of telling you to Sell they downgrade the company from Buy to Neutral or Collect or Underachieve the Market or Hold. The latter is the worst evaluation you will see. Any downgrade is your signaling to Sell immediately.

There is a successful manner to Buy and Hold, but it will take about 15 proceedings of your clip each week. You could make it monthly, but you will have got better consequences if you make it weekly. One of my basic criteria for owning any stock or common monetary fund is that it must be going up. Not down or sideways. Let's say you have got from one or respective pillory in your portfolio. On Saturday morning time you look at the shutting terms of the pillory you own. You calculate out what 10% of the shutting terms would be. You might desire it to be more than or less. For example, if the stock is $40 per share that come ups to $4. On Monday morning time you name your broker and topographic point an Open Stop Loss order for $36. Never lower the price. If the stock sells down to that degree you desire to be sold out.

The Hold side of the Buy and Hold expression have been met. You held it while it was going up. You don't desire to throw it while it is going down, make you? This is the right manner to Buy and Hold, not the manner Wall Street states you. You bought. You held. You got out with a net income (or a very small loss). Congratulations. You have got outsmarted Wall Street.

Tuesday, December 11, 2007

The Great Stock Market Secret

When the stock market is going up and all your pillory and common finances are making money you experience like a genius. It is too bad that some folks don't retrieve what happened in 2000. Of course, right now we are in one of those genius phases.

Your broker and financial contriver are encouraging you to buy, buy, buy. And I can't fault that at this time. You retrieve back in 2000 how many modern times they told you to buy, buy, purchase while the market was going down, down, down. Are we in another of those time periods now that are leading up to a thumping crash? Hey, I don't predict, but I make listen to the voice of the market.

The great Wall Street mantra is "buy a good stock and set it away". Did you maintain WorldCom and Global Crossing? Even if these were exclusions because of fraud a smart investor would not have got lost any money. In fact he could have got made a nice profit. But Al, they went under! Yes, I know, but the smart money still made out because they sold near the top.

As a former exchange member and flooring bargainer I was not right every clip I bought something and I especially did not like giving back nice net income that had accumulated. You don't have got to be psychical to cognize when to sell and don't believe you are going to be able to pick the top. A really smart bargainer waits for a stock or monetary fund to begin up and then leaps on it with both feet. When it begins down he leaps off looking for another equity that is going up. The wise bargainer cognizes he can't purchase the underside and sell the top. What he desires is a large bite out of the middle.

When you do a sandwich most of the meat is in the centre and a professional bargainer makes the same with his trading. He desires to take a bite out of the center of the move. You can make this too by looking for stocks, common finances or Exchange Traded Funds that have got a nice upward pattern. As I said before purchasing is not the secret. Then what is?

You must learn to sell - for two reasons. First to protect your equity after your initial purchase and second to maintain from giving back net income you have got made as the equity advances. The great Wall Street secret is an issue strategy: knowing when to sell. Unless you learn to sell you will not be successful in the market. Brokerage companies make not desire you to sell and rarely issue sell signals. You must make up one's mind how much you are willing to put on the line before you buy.

The simplest manner is with a percentage halt loss order of 5%, 7%, 10%, 12%, whatever you can dwell with. Instruct your broker to put a trialing halt or you can change it yourself every week. Bash not lower a stop.

Selling is the great secret you will never hear from your broker.

Saturday, December 08, 2007

The Holy Grail (of Investment)

Every twelvemonth I travel to the Money Show in Orlando, Florida. Thousands attend. It is mostly an aged crowd with the children about 40 old age of age. I have got got been saying for old age that until you have lost enough money trying to do a luck you will not go serious about investing. The under 40's are shooting for the moon and it have finally dawned on the over 40's (maybe it's the over 50's) that they must happen a better manner to get rich.

The Money Show shows a forum of recognized experts in their field. It may be long-term or short term trading. It could be in stocks, bonds, common fund, ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds), oil and gas properties, options, trade goods futures, managed accounts and other more than esoteric venues.

Each 1 of the "experts" allows you to listen to him talk (at no charge) to state you how he have establish the secret to stock market success and why you should purchase his Holy Place Grail service. You will have his (daily, weekly, monthly) market missive for the ridiculously low terms of from $250 to $5,000 or more. You may not have got got got got establish the Holy Place Place Place Grail, but he has.

Almost all of them have a "when to buy" method, but very few have a "when to cash in your chips" method and fewer than that volition have any manner to protect yourself from losing it all should their Holy Grail method bend into Holy Cow.

The Orlando show happens in February so every expert have his anticipations for the approaching year. The lone bear I font was Martin Weiss, but he wasn't a bull in 1999 either. No 1 desires to hear desperate effects of a bad twelvemonth for their pillory so the audience is fed the sort of nutrient they like. Everything is going to be even better this old age and with my ace software (or newsletter) you will do a better tax return than ever before.

During the three twenty-four hours show there were 396 person presentations most of which ran about an hr more or less and then there were the extra charges for having breakfast, lunch, tea, whatever with one of the speakers. And these weren't cheap. You could also subscribe up for all twenty-four hours seminars. In the Exhibit Hallway there was always an expert giving a public lecture with a great microscope slide show on how his Grail (I am getting hesitating about calling it Holy) will increase your portfolio.

Many investors came to see the guru whose market missive they were receiving. Very few of these aces are making anyone rich, but there are some. My inquiry to them is are they putting their ain money on the line or are these consequences hypothetical? After attending respective of these seminars each twenty-four hours with each presenter screening his magic get-rich expression it would look these folks would travel home more baffled than when they came. There is no Holy Place Grail of investing. At least I have got not establish it nor make I cognize anyone who has. Bash not trust on person else to do you rich.' You have got to make it yourself.

The existent Holy Place Grail translates into two words - Hard Work.

Friday, December 07, 2007

Hedge Fund Advertising

Have you seen all those large full page advertisements for hedge finances in the Wall Street Journal, the Financial Times, Investors Business Daily? You
haven’t. Maybe they are being drowned out by the regular common finances who continually state you how great they are.

Shucks! I forgot. Hedge finances are not
allowed to advertise. I inquire why. Maybe they think
that their possible clients are too dense to
cognize that hedge finances are a poor investment. Could be. The Securities and Exchange Commission
is trying to protect investors – Iodine think?

To be able to purchase into a hedge monetary fund the
smallest investor must have got a nett worth of
$1,000,000 and an income of more than than $200,000
per year. Maybe the second doesn’t believe these
folks are bright adequate to cognize a good thing
when they see it.

There are other groupings that are major
investors with the hedge funds. Literally billions
of dollars are invested by university endowments,
charitable trusts, state and corporate pension
plans. Could it be that they have got a better
tax return than regular common funds? Naw! The media
would state you wouldn’t they?

The mass mass media is there to report the facts. It
is hard to believe that just because a large
part of their income is from advertising
grosses of common finances that they would be lax
about this.

If you were a monetary monetary fund manager and your fund
was under performing and it was reported in the
local paper, TV, or radiocommunication would you pay them to
carry your advertising? You sure would not want
to be compared with public presentation of a hedge fund.

What is it that brands the difference of a
criterion common monetary monetary monetary fund with a hedge fund? Why does
the smart money gravitate to them? One word. Performance. A regular hedge monetary monetary fund manager is
paid on HOW much money he have in his fund and
not on how much he do for the investor. The
hedge monetary fund manager is paid a percentage of the
net income he do for the investors. No profit
intends no fillip so he better make the occupation or he
will be out of a job. Smart money moves. It
travels to where the net income is being made.

The second will not allow standard common fund
managers to be compensated in this manner. Their
claim is that it will be too dangerous for the
small investor. Hog wash! If a monetary monetary fund is losing
money the small cat should be merchandising his
current finances like the smart money and determination a
better acting fund. None of the media
urge this to the small guy.

My conjecture is there are enough intelligent
monetary fund managers who would wish to be paid for
public presentation and would put up no-load funds to
attract investors. The second looks to believe more
of the finances than they make of the smaller
investors.

It is a shame you can’t check the advertising
claims of standard common finances against the
tax returns of hedge funds.

Copyright 2005

Wednesday, December 05, 2007

How To Beat The Mutual Fund Companies At Their Own Game

You'd have got got had to be life on a desert island with no TV, newspaper or internet connexion to have missed hearing about the great common monetary monetary fund dirt of 2003.

The issue was that some common fund companies allowed certain hedge finances to engage in after-hours trading, sometimes incorrectly referred to as market timing. Unfortunately, some companies have got used the confusion about the term "market timing" to additional their ain cause. How?

They have got used this issue to pretty much prohibition all word forms of trading their funds, and some companies are imposing brawny short-term redemption fees—penalties for all purposes and purposes—in the name of avoiding impropriety. But the existent thought behind it all is: Buy our monetary fund and never sell it!

These companies recommend a stubborn Buy & Hold doctrine despite the annihilating personal effects that attack had on investors’ portfolios during the recent bear market. Performance is immaterial to them—they desire your money in their monetary monetary fund whether it's going up or down.

With all of the negative fourth estate over the calendar months you'd believe that common fund companies would have got cleaned up their enactment and started giving more than consideration to the individual investor. Not so.

This was brought home to me when a monetary monetary monetary monetary fund manager of an $800 million common fund called me to see what my programs were in regard to retention our places with his fund (about $2 million).

I explained my tendency trailing methodological analysis and he got very angry when he heard I would protect my clients' accumulated net income by merchandising his fund if it were to drop 7% off its highs.

His blusterous made it quite clear that he did not like anyone managing for the benefit of their clients; he only cared about what was best for him and his company.

So, what can you make to forestall being taken advantage of? For one thing, make what your common monetary fund company makes — not what they state you to do. Adopt a strategy for following trends, such as as I do, and usage the common monetary monetary monetary monetary fund manger’s superior stock picking ability to your advantage by purchasing and retention only as long as the fund is performing well.

Remember, the fund manager have one large disadvantage over you: He always “has to” be invested so that the public tin purchase shares in his fund. You don’t!

If market statuses order that you are better off in the safety of a money market account because we are in a terrible downtrend, then you can take your money and tally for cover. Helium can’t. He is constantly trying to set his portfolio to ever-changing economical statuses so that his possible losings are minimized. At the same clip you are being told that his monetary fund is the investing for all seasons. Don’t autumn for it!

You as an individual investor are really in the driver’s seat. Unfortunately, you have got probably been conditioned to believe that Buy & Hope is a good investing strategy, when in fact it is a losing proposition.

Bottom line is, usage a well performing common monetary fund during strong up tendencies and get over to the outs of-bounds during tendency reversals. (That's exactly what I did for my clients in October, 2001, and we retained the lion's share of their net income while Buy & Holders kept insisting the Emperor was wearing new clothes.) Pretty soon you will experience that you are in charge of your financial fate and any chosen common monetary fund is merely a tool to convey you closer to your ends of maximizing your addition and minimizing your losses.

Monday, December 03, 2007

Hedge Funds

You read and hear a batch about hedge funds. Unfortunately, most of what you hear is negative because it come ups from the major mass mass media that have an interest in reporting negatives about them because the major media is supported by so-called standard common finances and brokerage companies that pass large vaulting horses for
advertising. Hedge finances are NOT allowed to advertise.

First of all a hedge monetary monetary fund is almost indistinguishable to a common fund. There have got actually been fewer fraud ailments about hedge finances than about common funds. That doesn't intend they don't lose money just as regular common finances do.

The underperformance of common finances is not highlighted in the press; you don't seize with teeth the manus that feeds you. I'm talking about advertisement revenues. Would Janus, Invesco, Vanguard or any large monetary fund household go on to put advertisement dollars with person who told narratives about their losing finances or recommended that investors sell them to happen a better performer? Hardly.

Mutual finances utilize customers' money to purchase stock and bonds. Hedge finances are not limited to what they can buy. The tin bargain or short sell derivatives, commodities, options, oil and gas leases, cargo rates and even take an investor's money to the race path (although I doubt if they would). The managers of these finances are specializers in their field of knowledge and many make extremely well. Just because they are different doesn't do them bad. Like all investings you must cognize where your money is going and how it is going to be invested.

The 1 major difference is how the monetary fund manager is paid. Regular common monetary fund managers are paid on how much money they manage and NOT on performance. Hedge monetary monetary fund managers usually have 1% of the fund assets that travels for disbursals and 20% of the net income they do for their investors. In other words if they don't make a net income for you they don't get paid. I sure would wish to see them make that in regular common funds, but the Securities and Exchange Committee is the prisoner of the common monetary fund industry so don't throw your breath. The true ability of monetary fund managers would be exposed and many finances would vanish as the smart investors would be transferring their money to fund managers who have got winning records every year. Yes, every year. No more than of the nonsensicality of how they beat out the S&P500 by 5% yet lost your money.

So many of the hedge monetary fund articles state the investors are being hoodlum winked into putting money into these funds. I don't believe so. Almost every large state and corporate pension plan, university endowment, charitable trust and other large financial programs have got money in hedge funds. Like any cautious investor they did their owed diligence to happen out the path record and management capablenesses of the hedge fund.

You have got to be rich to set money into a hedge fund. They necessitate an income of $200,000 per twelvemonth and assets of one million or more. Many necessitate large initial investments.

If you measure up they are definitely a better topographic point than a regular common fund, but you must make your owed diligence.

Saturday, December 01, 2007

How to Evaluate Load vs. No Load Mutual Funds

If you have got got been dealing with common finances for any length of time, you undoubtedly have faced the inquiry of which is better: Load Funds or No Load Funds. If you are new to investing, "load" simply mentions to the committee paid to the broker merchandising the fund. "No load" intends there is no committee on the purchase or sale.

Most treatments in the past have got centered exclusively on public presentation comparisons. Even evaluation services like Morningstar have got occasionally chimed in with their opinion. However, rather than focusing only on performance, there are some other issues I see far more than important:

Who is selling loading finances and why?

Who markets no loading funds?

Which one is right for you?

Who is selling loading finances and why? Most loading finances are being sold through brokerage houses, financial contrivers and Registered Representatives. With few exceptions, most of those folks operate on the footing of merchandising as much merchandise as possible. They accumulate their committees up front, as a dorsum end charge, or both (usually in the range of 5 - 6%). Whether you do money or not is not their primary concern. What matters most to those operating under this attack is how often you buy—and thereby generate new committees for them.

Who markets no loading funds? No Load finances are either marketed directly by the common monetary fund companies or, more than commonly these days, offered through price reduction houses like Schwab, Fidelity, and many others. The advantage to this is that you have got got got an limitless pick of finances in one topographic point and don't have to open up separate accounts for each common monetary monetary fund household that you are considering.

Most fee based investing advisors, like myself, have independent human relationships with such as major price reduction firms and are able to offer clients just about any no loading common fund available. They have no compensation from the firm and only get paid by the client at a pre-determined fee arrangement. Under this arrangement, there is no concealed motive to sell you a peculiar monetary fund or to seek and sell more than in order to get a larger commission.

Which one is right for you? Whether you prefer dealing with person merchandising loading finances or an advisor getting you into no loads, allow me do one thing very clear: You can do money or lose money either way! Why?

Let’s presume for the minute that there is no difference in public presentation between the types of funds—some of either sort will make well and some of either sort won't. What then determines the successful result of you buying either a loading or a no loading fund?

The cardinal is the advice you’re getting. And the fact is that many brokerage houses and Registered Representatives be given to be more than interested in their net income than yours. Their investing advice is generally centered around Buy and Hold or dollar cost averaging and similar financially questionable recommendations. Hardly ever will you have advice about when and why you should go out the market, either because of accumulated net income or to restrict your losses. Getting out of the market is simply not in their best interest, though it may be in yours.

I must confess that, as a fee based advisor, I am somewhat biased and I prefer no loading finances for my clients. I believe that this type of arrangement is best for all political parties involved. It allows me to avoid any struggle of interest and to work exclusively for my clients’ financial benefit. And the better my clients do, the better Iodine do.

I am able to take no loading finances and do purchase determinations solely on the footing of my common monetary fund tendency trailing methodology. Following its signals, I can get clients into the market or out of it as often as is necessary to maximise net income or protect assets. And because I work with no loading funds, other than a very occasional short term salvation fee, there are no transaction charges no matter how many modern times we travel into or out of the market.

If market statuses order that we stand up aside in a money market for an drawn-out clip in order to avoid a bear market (as was the lawsuit from 10/13/2000 to 4/28/2003), I can counsel that because it is in the best interest of my client. I am always thinking about what will profit my client, not distressing about lost commissions. (Please see my article “How we eluded the Bear in 2000” at http://www.successful-investment.com/articles12.htm.

Bottom line: Load monetary monetary fund vs. No Load common fund shouldn’t be the issue. Having a methodical program and dependable advice as to when to purchase and when to sell is far more than of import and will assist you to secure a comfortable financial future.

© by Ulli G. Niemann